中金:AI现在仍未到典型的“泡沫”阶段

Odaily星球日报讯 中金公司研报称,3 月底以来,在 AI 的带领下,美股、A 股创业板及韩日等股市持续走强。这背后固然有地缘局势未进一步恶化、市场情绪改善等因素的提振,但一季度科技股亮眼的业绩同样功不可没。AI“主导”了近期市场表现,也“主导”了盈利与增长。
综合从需求、投资强度和市场定价三个维度的讨论,AI 现在仍未到典型的“泡沫”阶段,但投资相对需求和能力的“抢跑”也是客观存在的,这也是 AI 过去几年都是在波折中前行的主要原因。实际上,2023 年以来的 AI 行情都不是单边上行,粗略看一般是快速上涨两个季度后,泡沫担忧增加,震荡或走弱一个季度以等待新催化剂。(金十)
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