FreedmanCrypto[互关版]

Can't sleep, staring blankly at my account. It's 3 AM, and BTC is still hovering above $80,000. SOL is at $93, the same price as before I went to bed last night. I've been watching the screen for half an hour, but haven't placed any orders. It's not that I don't want to, I'm just afraid. Afraid that when I wake up, I'll find myself standing at the peak. The hardest part about trading crypto isn't losing money, it's that feeling of "it seems like it's going up but also seems like it's going down." Sideways movement is the toughest because you know the direction will be chosen sooner or later, but you don't know if it will be up or down. My current position isn't heavy, about 30%. Some people around me have gone all in and keep asking me what I think. What can I say? I'm not a fortune teller. But one thing I'm fairly sure of: the $80,000 level isn't easy to break down below in the short term. Are you holding coins or staying out tonight? #非农数据连续超出预期：降息预期走低 #美伊停火：MOU框架仍在推进 #CLARITY法案：标记审议最早下周启动

This morning I saw Trump Media lost $400 million, and I almost dropped my phone. Not because I hold Trump Media — buying it is like buying a lottery ticket, just hoping for a "what if". But what really made my heart tighten was: a $406 million loss, with the main culprit being BTC holdings write-down. If institutional BTC holdings can lose this badly, then us retail traders cutting losses back and forth in contracts doesn’t seem so hard to accept. Trump Media still has about $159 million in crypto assets on hand, which, at today’s BTC price of $80,781, roughly equals how many BTC? Do the math yourself, I won’t say the number, afraid it’ll make me feel worse. Some comments say Trump Media will sooner or later liquidate all BTC to stop the bleeding, while others say this is deliberately lowering profits to pave the way for future moves. I choose not to guess — I just want to know, when the next "institutional large-scale BTC sell-off" news comes out, should I run? Will you follow the institutions’ moves? $BTC $TRUMP #比特币ETF：连续六周净流入 #

I am the person who bottomed bought $ADA at $0.27 Today $ADA dropped 2.37%, and the price returned to $0.27. To be honest, I have seen this price before. A month ago, I bottomed bought once at $0.28. The reasons were solid: Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson tweets every day, Hydra's on-chain TVL is increasing, and institutional holding data looks decent. I thought this was the bottom. But after I bought, ADA kept dropping, hitting a low of $0.25. My account shrank by nearly 9%. Later, $0.28 came back once. I quickly sold half, leaving the rest "waiting to break even." But today, looking again—it’s back to $0.27. In other words, I went through the motions, didn’t make money, but paid quite a bit in fees. A friend said: You’re a classic example of buying high and selling low, the reverse indicator. I can’t argue with that. Now the question is: at $0.27, should I buy in again? To be honest, I don’t know. I only know: First, the reasons I bought last time still hold—the ADA tech roadmap hasn’t changed, and the ecosystem is progressing. Second, my position has numbed me to losses; selling now would mean admitting my judgment was completely wrong. Third, the most ironic rule in crypto is: when you sell, it’s often just before the market starts to move up. So I’ve chosen—not to move. Not because I’m confident, but because I’m too lazy to act after losing so much. Have you ever had this experience: your coins drop, you don’t sell; they rise a bit, you still don’t want to sell; then they drop again. Comment below and let me know I’m not the only one like this.

CME is about to launch BTC volatility contracts. It's not about betting on direction, but on the magnitude of volatility. Honestly, this product is a bit counterintuitive. Previously, in crypto contracts, you had to predict whether BTC would go up or down. Now CME lets you directly bet on "whether BTC will experience intense volatility." Direction doesn't matter; the magnitude does. The logic behind this is: institutions don't want to take on directional risk but want to bet on the level of market panic. Volatility itself has become a tradable asset class. This type of play is not for retail crypto traders—high barriers, complex underlying assets. But it means Wall Street is seriously addressing BTC's risk management needs. BTC has evolved from "speculating on coins" to "hedging volatility," which is very interesting. Do you think it's easier to predict direction or to predict volatility? #比特币ETF：连续六周净流入 #

The US Senate is finally going to review the crypto bill, with a vote next week. The long-delayed STABLE Act is finally coming to light. $BTC is holding steady at $80,600, bulls are still strong, but honestly, no one is sure if the bill will pass—it's been said it would pass by 2025, yet it's been delayed until now. Whether it passes this time depends on those few votes next week. If the vote passes next week, $BTC could likely surge directly to $82,000–$85,000, with institutional funds entering faster. If it gets delayed again or the terms tighten, $80,000 might have to consolidate for a while longer. On the news front, Saylor just said "selling BTC is to protect the moat," Peter Brandt is shouting $300,000–$500,000, the voices in the circle are chaotic, but the real big event is the Senate vote next week. Are you betting on it passing or more delays? Share your judgment in the comments 🤔

After spending a long time in the crypto circle, the most feared thing is when an old-timer suddenly speaks up. Peter Brandt just posted a tweet saying BTC could reach between $300K and $500K by 2029. Not $100K, not $200K, but $300K to $500K. Brandt is not a retail investor; he’s one of those who started futures trading back in the '70s and has seen countless cycles. In 2019, he predicted BTC would hit $100K, and many people laughed at him then. Now he’s directly raised the target to $500K. Of course, he gave a range, $300K-$500K, a span of $200K. This range is large enough that he can’t really be wrong. But the key question is—why is he saying this now? The current macro environment is: tariffs, balance sheet reduction, and strong global capital risk aversion. BTC has pulled back nearly 30% from its high. Most people are asking whether to cut losses. But Peter Brandt says: don’t rush, looking back in 2029, this is the bottom range. I’m not recommending you buy. I’m just saying for myself: I will seriously listen to the judgment of such an old-timer, but I won’t follow blindly. What about you? Do you think BTC can reach $500K by 2029? Or do you think he’s just bragging? #BTC $BTC #Nonfarm payroll data continuously exceeds expectations: rate cut expectations decline #Saylor拟出售BTC以支付股息 #BTC跨界：GameStop$560亿买eBay

Great news! $BTC 80K has finally been reclaimed, and then Peter Brandt comes out saying he sees $300K to $500K by 2029. Honestly, my first reaction was: Is this old guy too bullish? But thinking carefully, the last time he made such a call was in 2019, and $BTC really did multiply 20 times. Now with my $80K position, should I just hold it for 3 years without looking? Like forgetting the account password kind of hold. The question is: can you really hold on? $BTC $ETH #非农数据连续超出预期：降息预期走低 #

Last night before going to bed, BTC was still hovering around $79,500 Woke up this morning, and it was already $80,761 What happened in between? The U.S. Senate Banking Committee announced it will consider the long-awaited cryptocurrency bill next week — this is the most serious regulatory move on crypto by U.S. authorities so far. Honestly, after years of trading crypto, whenever I hear the word "regulation," my first reaction isn’t excitement but caution. Because historically, every time a regulatory signal appears, short-term bearish pressure always comes first. But this time is different. This time institutions have already entered. BlackRock’s ETF positions are still locked in, Coinbase, although it lost $394M in Q1 and I got liquidated during their outage — no one has truly retreated. Big money never sleeps. $BTC has held above $80K, $ETH followed to $2,330, and $SOL slightly rebounded to $93. On the surface, it looks calm, but signals of altcoin season have been flashing continuously. Some people around me have already started shifting positions into small and mid-cap coins, while others firmly hold $BTC waiting for a breakout. What about you? Are you watching from the sidelines, or have you already made a move?

Just saw the news, OKX has launched USDT perpetual contracts for $OPENAI and $SPACEX. To be honest, my first reaction was: What the heck? OpenAI is not a publicly listed company, and SpaceX isn't either. OKX has introduced contract trading for these two assets, meaning you can bet on the valuation fluctuations of OpenAI on a crypto exchange. Behind this is actually OKX promoting the "Pre-IPO" concept—letting users bet with contracts before these companies go public. Now with OKX, perpetual contracts, OpenAI, and SpaceX combined, the topic is heating up. Personally, I find this move quite interesting. Previously, contract trading was limited to crypto-native assets like BTC and ETH. Now, turning the valuations of unlisted companies into trading pairs is like bringing traditional primary market logic onto the blockchain. Of course, the risks are obvious—these assets don’t have proper secondary market pricing, and liquidity is entirely provided by the exchange itself. It has a stronger gambling attribute. Have you ever traded such special asset contracts on OKX? #在OKX交易美股：三大独角兽永续合约已上线

I earned my first "passive income" on OKX You might not believe it when I say this, but the first time I seriously used OKX was because I discovered it actually supports Web3 wallets on nearly 10 different chains. At that time, I had some Meme tokens a project team airdropped to me, and I was transferring them across chains so much that I almost lost my private keys. Later, a friend told me that OKX Wallet can switch chains with a single command, so I tried it—and it really works. The wallet has the exchange built right in, so transferring funds doesn’t require leaving the app. That night, I worked until 3 AM, lying in bed suddenly thinking: sometimes it’s not about ability, but about choosing the right tools. After that, I started seriously researching OKX and found a few interesting things: Last month, ICE invested $25 billion in OKX. People from traditional finance put real money into a crypto exchange. I still feel like most people haven’t fully digested this signal. OKB’s recent performance has also been steadier than the overall market. It hovered around $88 for a few days, then quietly climbed nearly 2% today. I’m not telling anyone to buy, I’m just saying—people holding platform tokens usually have a better mindset than pure traders. After all, with the fee buyback mechanism, if the platform does well, OKB won’t do too badly. I now keep spot assets on OKX and futures on other platforms. It’s not because OKX’s futures are bad, but because I need a "cooling-off period"—switching between two platforms forces my brain to think twice. Have you used OKX Wallet? I basically don’t use other wallets for daily transfers anymore. @OKX中文 @OKX成长学院