📍 US–IRAN CEASEFIRE HOLDS: CRYPTO IS BETTING ON LIQUIDITY, NOT PEACE 🌍 #USIranCeasefireMOUTalk remains a key driver of global market sentiment following the May 8 Hormuz tensions. While the MOU framework is still technically alive and negotiations have not fully collapsed, the Strait of Hormuz remains unstable — meaning oil and inflation risks are far from gone. That is why BTC continues to act as a defensive asset, while ETH is only seeing a technical rebound around the 2.3K zone after sweeping liquidity near 2.265K on the H4 chart. 💰 What matters now is that markets are reacting more to Fed liquidity expectations than to the geopolitical narrative itself. If oil prices stabilize, speculative capital could rotate back into ETH and major Layer1s, with 2.36K–2.42K becoming the next key range. But if new negative headlines emerge from Hormuz, altcoins could face sharp downside pressure as leverage across the market remains elevated. 📈 Trading idea: favor short-term longs while ETH holds above 2.3K, using moderate 3x–5x leverage with risk defined below 2.265K. Avoid chasing impulsive pumps without volume confirmation. ⚠️ Crypto rarely tops when bad news appears — it tops when the crowd believes every risk has already disappeared. 🔍